Once best stocks in US market, and now fading
I ask AI to generate 10 stocks in US market history, which were once rising stars in those old days.
You can see it could take 10 or more years to rise the the top, and CAGR ranging from 17% to 35%.
Today, we have M7 companies. When will they exhibit the same wave and fading away?
If you are lazy enough, and reluctance to review the facts of each stock, any of the good company today might turn into a fading company eventually. Best lazy strategy is to buy an ETF which could cover those good stock, and save time to manage your portfolio. Of course, in return, you will lose the opportunities to win more.
Sources primarily use Macrotrends historical price data and long‑term market records. (macrotrends.net)
10 U.S. Stocks — 10‑Year CAGR Leading Up to Peak
| Company | Peak Year | Peak Price (Adj.) | Price ~10Y Earlier | 10‑Year CAGR | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodak | 1997 (true dominance era) | ~$94 | ~$6 (1987) | ≈31% | Film monopoly era; later re‑listed after bankruptcy |
| General Electric | 2000 | ~$58 | ~$8 (1990) | ≈22% | Jack Welch era super‑conglomerate |
| Sears | 1965 | ~$140 | ~$30 (1955) | ≈17% | Pre‑Walmart retail dominance |
| Nokia (ADR) | 2000 | $29.75 | ~$2.40 (1990 equiv.) | ≈28% | Mobile phone global leader |
| BlackBerry (RIM) | 2008 | $147.55 | ~$7 (1998) | ≈35% | Enterprise smartphone monopoly |
| Pan Am | 1968 | ~$43 | ~$9 (1958) | ≈17% | Jet‑age aviation leader |
| Blockbuster | 1999 | ~$33 | ~$3 (1989 est.) | ≈27% | Physical media dominance |
| Polaroid | 1972 | ~$143 | ~$22 (1962) | ≈20% | Instant photography revolution |
| Xerox | 1973 | ~$171 | ~$17 (1963) | ≈26% | Office technology monopoly |
| RadioShack | 1999 | ~$42 | ~$4 (1989) | ≈27% | Consumer electronics boom |
What This Table Shows Clearly
✅ These were extraordinary long‑term compounders
- Many delivered 20–35% annual returns for a full decade
- Comparable to modern mega‑winners (Apple, NVIDIA, Amazon)
❌ Yet every one eventually declined
Common causes:
- Technological disruption
- Management complacency
- Over‑reliance on legacy business models
Key Investor Lesson
High CAGR before a peak does NOT predict permanence.
The market always replaces leaders.
Kenzo
2025 Jan 3
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